Earnings Playbook

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Earnings Playbook

DECIDE • Composes earnings filter (Wave-2a) + IV history (Wave-4) + DTE cohort (Wave-3) + 15-strategy menu (Wave-6). Ranks Top-Picks with earnings ≤14d by composite edge. NOT advice.

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Methodology
Composite edge ranks tickers by: (a) implied move size (Beaver 1968 IV expansion) × (b) IV rank percentile (Tastytrade VRP — Bondarenko 2014) × (c) days-to-earnings urgency × (d) historical post-earnings drift (when available). Strategy recommendation: All recommendations tagged [ARCHITECTURAL-pending-Brier-N≥30-validation] until /my-options realized-Brier cohort accumulates per-strategy per-IV-rank-tier.