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Dollar Strength Impact Model

DXY (US Dollar Index) sector & asset correlations. Current regime, rolling 90-day correlation matrix, asset-class sensitivities, and regime-conditioned trade ideas. Data: UUP ETF via Polygon (DXY proxy) + literature priors (Lustig-Roussanov-Verdelhan 2011; Koijen et al. 2018).

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DXY Level (UUP Proxy)
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1D—
1W—
1M—
YTD—
52-week range
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Dollar Regime
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52-Week Percentile
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vs prior year
DXY Sector Correlations — Rolling 90d (Pearson r)
GICS Sectors vs Dollar Literature Prior
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Correlation Legend

Correlation r measures co-movement between DXY daily returns and each sector ETF's daily returns over the prior 90 trading days.

Positive r — sector moves WITH dollar strength
Negative r — sector moves AGAINST dollar strength
Scale
±0.0–0.2 → Neutral ±0.2–0.4 → Moderate ±0.4–0.7 → Strong >0.7 → Very strong
Live data: Computed from Polygon daily bars (UUP + sector ETFs) when API key is configured. Falls back to literature-median priors (LRV 2011, KMPV 2018) otherwise.
Asset Class DXY Sensitivity
DXY vs Key Asset Classes — Direction & Correlation r Literature Prior
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Trade Ideas — Current Regime
⇧ Overweight / Favour
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⇩ Underweight / Avoid
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Historical DXY Impact — When USD Was at Similar Levels
Sector Returns at Current Regime
Annualised median (2000–2024)
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Asset Returns at Current Regime
Annualised median (2000–2024)
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Data & methodology: DXY level proxied via UUP ETF (Invesco DB US Dollar Bullish Fund) from Polygon.io — Polygon does not license ICE/DXY directly. Sector correlations: Pearson r on log-returns, rolling 90 trading days (UUP vs XLK/XLF/XLE/XLV/XLU/XLI/XLP/XLY/XLB/XLRE/XLC). Asset correlations: GLD, EEM, USO, DJP. Literature priors used when Polygon bars are unavailable. Historical returns: annualised median from Lustig-Roussanov-Verdelhan (2011), Koijen-Moskowitz-Pedersen-Vrugt (2018), NBER databases 2000–2024. Not investment advice. Past correlations are not predictive of future returns. Regime regime bands: STRONG DOLLAR = 52w percentile >80%; NEUTRAL = 20–80%; WEAK DOLLAR = <20%.